After some time to reflect, here are 10 things I think; 5 good, 5 bad. 

Five Reasons President Trump Will Be Just As Bad As You Think: 

1. Emboldening the Nutjobs.  This is likely to be the worst of the whole deal.  It's not even about anything specific that Trump does or will do, just a general environment and attitude that makes racism and xenophobia OK.  The only way to combat this is consistent, loving but firm application of values of inclusiveness.  It's gonna be tough, but potentially also rewarding (more on that later). 

2. Immigration.  Of all the crazy things Trump has said, the one he probably will follow through on is immigration.  I don't think the next 4 years will be a good time to be an immigrant.  Unfortunately, he doesn't even need new laws to do this; there's a reason they're called illegal immigrants.  This is sad, and one can only hope there will be some restraint. 

3. Climate Change.  There was already plenty of reason to be afraid that we weren't doing enough, fast enough, and that's only going to get worse under President Trump.  My only hope is that market forces will rise to the challenge, and solar/wind/renewables will be able to genuinely compete in an open and free market. 

4. Iran/The Middle East.  I think he is actually going to follow through on dropping out of negotiations with Iran and taking a hardline, which is terrible, terrible news. 

5. Corruption.  Trump just doesn't seem to be too concerned about the truth and about propriety.  I fully expect there to be nasty scandals and a lot of really shady goings on. 

Now, Five Reasons Trump's Presidency Won't Be As Bad As You Think (And Might Even Be Good): 

1. Infrastructure.  I think Trump's first act will be to invest heavily in infrastructure, a la the CCC.  This could be a really good thing; we need more jobs, and we need better bridges/roads/internet access/etc.  This could be a really great win-win. 

2. The "Austin Effect".  Having lived in both Portland and Austin, one thing I noticed is how fervent and ardent liberal support is in Austin.  I attribute this to the siege mentality in Austin; with so much conservatism around, you never take anything for granted.  I think this Trump moment is a galvanizing wake up call for people that really care about a kind and generous future.  If there is any good news, it would be if a new movement of people who refuse to regress is sparked. 

3.  Russia.  You may feel vaguely uncomfortable watching Trump sing the praises of Putin.  But, taking a step back, it is genuinely a really good thing for the world if US-Russia relations improve and normalize.  Like it or not, I think the one area where we can say Obama really did fail is in understanding Russia.  Consider the opposite: the continued drift towards a renewed cold war.  I don't think that would have been good, and now maybe it won't happen. 

4.  LGBTQ issues.  I'm not saying Trump is a great guy.  Deep in his heart, he might be a weirdo.  But publically, at least, his administration should actually be an ally for most LGBTQ causes.  I feel - perhaps naively - that we have turned the corner on LGBTQ issues, and there is no turning the clock back.  I don't think even rural America cares much about this issue; they just want jobs. 

5. The Inevitable Moderation of Reality.  We are already seeing the moderation of Donald Trump.  Call it "being presidential" or just the business smarts to be magnanimous in victory, but Trump has already dialed down the rhetoric a ton.  I was drawn to Guiliani's quote when asked about putting Hillary Clinton in jail: "If it isn't as bad as some of the exaggerators think it is, then I think the best thing to do is forget it and move on."  Or how about Trump meeting Obama in person and talking about how much respect he had for him?  Look, the guy might be slimy, but he isn't stupid.  He's not running for president anymore, he *is* president.  One can hope he is at least somewhat sane.